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A new MicroStrategy Bitcoin address confirmed by on-chain analysis and public data

This post is a follow-up to the previous post : https://btcinoutalert.net/microstrategy-bitcoin-addresses/

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On-chain data are interpretive, we have said repeatedly, but the enormous amount of data, public, analyzable remains a unique tool in the modern financial world. In a previous post we identified Bitcoin addresses from MicroStrategy, a Nasdaq-listed company that has abandoned dollar reserves to accumulate Bitcoin. In this post we will analyze a new Bitcoin address traceable to MicroStrategy (MSTR).

After the latest analysis and the almost certain identification of MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin addresses, some users were talking about “possible selling of Bitcoin by MicroStrategy,” a suspicion that actually had no confirmation. The suspicions came from some outflows, such as the outflow of 14,000 Bitcoins to the address 1JHceFenZHACSRPD6tE4bfU6yJ83wTG6kH

Bitcoin address 1JHceFenZHACSRPD6tE4bfU6yJ83wTG6kH onchain analysis

The suspicion was that this address was owned by MicroStrategy, but without proof. Since the last release of Form 8-K (a form used to notify investors in U.S. public companies of specific events that might be important to shareholders or to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission) we have been able to identify that address as an additional address traceable to MicroStrategy.

The document mentions :

MicroStrategy, together with its subsidiaries, increased its bitcoin holdings by 2,500 bitcoins,
from approximately 130,000 bitcoins as of October 31, 2022, to approximately 132,500 bitcoins as of December 27, 2022.

Source : https://www.microstrategy.com/content/dam/website-assets/collateral/financial-documents/financial-document-archive/form-8-k-12-28-2022.pdf

Thus, we know that MicroStrategy, as of December 27, 2022, holds about 132,500 Bitcoins.

If, in addition to the addresses we have already identified, we also add up the Bitcoins of the suspect address :

AddressBalance as of December 27, 2022
1JHceFenZHACSRPD6tE4bfU6yJ83wTG6kH13,816 Bitcoin
1LQoWist8KkaUXSPKZHNvEyfrEkPHzSsCd124,348 Bitcoin
1P5ZEDWTKTFGxQjZphgWPQUpe554WKDfHQ0 Bitcoin
1FzWLkAahHooV3kzTgyx6qsswXJ6sCXkSR0 Bitcoin
Total138,164 Bitcoin

We can therefore confirm that the address 1JHceFenZHACSRPD6tE4bfU6yJ83wTG6kH is an address traceable to MicroStrategy.

Bitcoin address 1JHceFenZHACSRPD6tE4bfU6yJ83wTG6kH is from MicroStrategy. Onchain analysis

Onchain data embedded with public data has enormous potential for analysis, and this is a classic example.

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Onchain Analysis

MicroStrategy Bitcoin addresses

MicroStrategy and Bitcoin. Microstrategy is one among the leading Nasdaq-listed companies that has abandoned dollar reserves to accumulate Bitcoin. In this post we are going to analyze which addresses are most likely to be attributable to MicroStrategy.

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Onchain data are interpretive, but at the same time offer a huge amount of data, public, analyzable, and helping to identify with relative certainty who holds the private keys to a Bitcoin address.

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Much information that helps identify and confirm addresses comes from official sources, such as the SEC. In one of the latest reports published by MicroStrategy on the SEC website dated September 20, 2022 it mentions :

As of September 19, 2022, MicroStrategy, together with its subsidiaries, held an aggregate of approximately 130,000 bitcoins

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1050446/000119312522247427/d355455d8k.htm

We therefore know from official documents, with certainty, that on September 19, 2022, MicroStrategy, owned about 130,000 Bitcoins. We then analyze the chart with addresses above 100k provided on our website:

We have to date 4 addresses greater than 100k, of which 3 are officially traceable to Binance, addresses certainly owned by Binance officiated by multiple sources. That leaves only one with 137,000 as of September 19, 2022, which is 1LQoWist8KkaUXSPKZHNvEyfrEkPHzSsCd is MicroStrategy?

Address Analysis 1P5ZEDWTKTFGxQjZphgWPQUpe554WKDfHQ

The analysis of address 1LQoWist8KkaUXSPKZHNvEyfrEkPHzSsCd often pales balances that correspond with what MicroStrategy officiates through SEC reports. Address 1LQoWist8KkaUXSPKZHNvEyfrEkPHzSsCd is a probable change of address 1P5ZEDWTKTFGxQjZphgWPQUpe554WKDfHQ traceable to the same owner, and has connections to address 1FzWLkAahHooV3kzTgyx6qsswXJ6sCXkSR

A cross-reference of the two addresses brings confirmation, namely, that often the sum of the two addresses almost faithfully met the balances reported to the SEC and by Tweets.

Analyzing the latest SEC memo, we know that MicroStrategy owns “approximately 130,000 Bitcoins, which corresponds to what we see in the balance, or 137.845 BTC

Some analysts criticize and deny the possibility that the address 1P5ZEDWTKTFGxQjZphgWPQUpe554WKDfHQ before and consequently 1LQoWist8KkaUXSPKZHNvEyfrEkPHzSsCd after is the address traceable to MicroStrategy, and this is explained as “the address 1P5ZEDWTKTFGxQjZphgWPQUpe554WKDfHQ was active before MicroStrategy started buying Bitcoin,” and this is absolutely true, but it can be explained.

CoinBase and the partnership with MicroStrategy
https://www.coinbase.com/blog/coinbase-is-helping-corporate-companies-diversify-with-crypto

MicroStrategy and its subsidiaries, according to multiple sources, use CoinBase both as an OTC (Over the counter buying and selling) service and, more importantly, as a custodial service.

A cross-check of address balances and communications from the SEC, MicroStrategy, and Saylor’s Tweets confirm that addresses 1LQoWist8KkaUXSPKZZHNvEyfrEkPHzSsCd , 1P5ZEDWTKTFGxQjZphgWPQUpe554WKDfHQ and 1FzWLkAahHooV3kzTgyx6qsswXJ6sCXkSR are controlled by CoinBase and are Bitcoins traceable with high probability, almost certainty, to MicroStrategy, and that the Bitcoins in the balance are wholly or close to 100 percent traceable to MicroStrategy.

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Update : following this post, a further follow-up post has been published which you can follow at this link https://btcinoutalert.net/a-new-microstrategy-bitcoin-address-confirmed-by-on-chain-analysis-and-public-data/

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